· Market Trend: Corn, Down 3-4; Soybeans, Mixed; Wheat, Down 3-4
· U.S. stocks futures are a little weaker this morning. Dow futures are 12 lower; the S&P is off 1.50 and the Nasdaq, a ¼ point lower. Asia began the week generally higher: the Nikkei gained .44%; the Hang Seng lost .13% and the Shanghai Composite posted a .59% increase. Europe finds 2 out of 3 of the major markets lower: the FTSE and the CAC 40 are off .04% and .40%; the DAX is .17% to the plus side. Europe’s gains were attributed to further ECB stimulus measures as consumer price inflation slowed to .5% in May, well below the 2% target rate. U.S. news is light this morning. The $ Index is .026 lower at 80.06; gold is $6.40 lower and energy futures are mixed
· T-Storm Weather: Scattered thunderstorms affect the southeast half of the central U.S. through today as a strong cool front approaches; heavy rainfall of 1.00”-2.00” focuses on parts of IL, IA and MO, while scattered 0.50”-1.00” occur to the south and east (slowing HRW and SRW wheat harvesting). Thereafter, a period of mainly dry weather occurs as cool high pressure dominates, though a few showers dot northern areas of the Corn Belt and Plains Tuesday-Wednesday. The Corn Belt is forecast to be cooler than usualJuly 1-5 with maximums generally in the 70s and minimums in the 50s.
· July Corn Down $.0325 at $4.3975; September Down $.0475 at $4.3750. Deliveries: 3 (4/21). Funds bought 4 K Friday
· July Soybeans Up $.0050; August Up $.03 at $13.8125. Deliveries, 0 SB, 0 SBM, 1,814 SBO. Funds: sold 7 K SB; bought 4 K SBM and sold 4 K SBO
· July Wheat Down $.0375 at $5.815-; September Down $.04 at $5.8975. Deliveries, 71 SRW (4/29). The funds bought 3 K Friday
CORN/SORGHUM
· USDA Acreage report 11:00 CDT--Avg. guess, corn acres 91.7 million acres vs. 91.7 in March (range 91.0-92.5)
· USDA Grain Stocks report 11:00 CDT—Avg. guess June 1 corn stocks, 3.723Bbu vs. 2.766 last year (range 3.046-4.050)
· ATI Research: USDA Crop Progress likely to show U.S. corn crop Good/Excellent 72-74% vs. 74% last week, 67% last yr.
· Export Inspections released at 10 AM CDT; Corn, 44.5 needed; 38.9 last week. Milo—4.0 needed; 2.4 last week
SOYBEANS/WHEAT
· USDA Acreage report--Avg. guess, soybean acres 82.2 million vs. 81.5 in March (range 81.3-84.0)
· USDA Grain Stocks report—Avg. guess June 1 soybean stocks, 382mbu vs. 435 last year (range 334-440)
· ATI Research: Crop Progress likely to show U.S. soybean crop Good/Excellent 70-72% vs. 72% last week, 67% last year
· Export Inspections released at 10 AM CDT; Soybeans, 3.7 needed; 2.3 last week
· USDA Acreage report--Avg. guess, other spring wheat acres 11.9 million vs. 12.0 in March (range 11.2-12.2)
· USDA Grain Stocks report—Avg. guess June 1 all wheat stocks, 597mbu vs. 718 last year (range 561-633)
ENERGY
· Futures are mixed: QCLQ14, -$.45 at $105.29; QRBQ, -$0.0149; QNGQ, $.000; and QHOQ, -$.0186
· Cash ethanol markets were slightly higher on Friday: Chicago climbed 1; Gulf gained 1 ½; Tampa and Dallas added ½; New York was 3 higher; and LA was up ½ to $2.48 per gallon
· Firmer trend in RINs: 2012’s gained 1 ¼ to 54-55 ½; 2013’s up 1 to 54 ½-55 ½; and 2014’s added 1 ¼ to 54 ½-55 ½
· The July RBOB/July ethanol spread was little changed on Friday, up $.0062 at $0.9698/gallon
LIVESTOCK/POULTRY
· Choice boxed beef values gained 97-cents Friday to a third consecutive daily record high of $245.98
· Cash cattle traded Friday at $154 to $155, up about $5 from the week before
· After falling $1.21 on Thursday, the USDA pork carcass cutout value rebounded $36-cents Friday
· USDA Hogs & Pigs report showed June 1 hog herd at 95% of last year, breeding herd at 100%
Sources: Bloomberg, Dow Jones, AP, T-storm Weather